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  1. #1
    Web Hosting Guru
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    May 2011
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    Dólar a R$ 4,00 realidade muito próxima!

    Dólar a R$ 4,00 é uma realidade muito próxima!

    +3,38% R$ 3,475

    Dólar tur 3,6700

  2. #2
    WHT-BR Top Member
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    Dec 2010
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    ‘Para os EUA, o Brasil é parte da solução’, diz embaixador brasileiro nos EUA

    Sonia Racy
    10 Novembro 2016

    No comando da Embaixada do Brasil nos EUA desde julho, o embaixador Sergio Amaral recebeu com tranquilidade a vitória do republicano Donald Trump nas eleições americanas, anunciada na madrugada de ontem. Acima de tudo, pela percepção de que o Brasil “não é parte de nenhum dos problemas debatidos durante a campanha presidencial daquele país. Ao contrário, é parte da solução”.

    Com a experiência de quem já serviu em Paris e Londres, entre outras capitais, Amaral menciona três exemplos de como as coisas estão no bom caminho entre os dois governos. A primeira, a área do comércio, na qual o Brasil “é um dos poucos países com os quais os EUA registram um superávit significativo, da ordem de US$ 2 bilhões por ano” – resultado que se repete há vários anos, à exceção de 2015, por causa da recessão brasileira.

    E mesmo o que andou devagar – a não ratificação, até o momento, da chamada Aliança do Pacífico (a Trans-Pacific Partnership), ou a demora de sua confirmação – “poderá ser positiva”, avisa o embaixador, “ao nos dar tempo adicional para se preparar para uma negociação caso o Brasil opte por aderir”.

    Empregos criados

    Outro fator importante para o bom relacionamento: “Não temos qualquer responsabilidade pelo desemprego localizado nos EUA”. Os números, segundo Amaral, mostram o contrário: as empresas brasileiras “investiram nos últimos anos cerca de US$ 24 bilhões de dólares nos EUA e, com isto, geraram cerca de 80 mil empregos”.

    Por fim, o Brasil “não tem participação expressiva” em assuntos que representam hoje algum problema na vida americana. Ele cita como os principais: “imigração, terrorismo, tráfego de drogas ou relocalização de investimentos americanos”.

    http://cultura.estadao.com.br/blogs/...iz-embaixador/


    'Relações não serão afetadas', diz embaixador do Brasil nos EUA

    William Waack entrevista Sérgio Amaral, embaixador do Brasil nos Estados Unidos, e pergunta sobre o impacto da vitória de Trump no Brasil.

    William Waack
    10/11/2016

    Assim como muitos outros governos, também o do Brasil não estava preparado para uma vitória de Donald Trump. E o que muda agora nas relaçoes entre o Brasília e Washington?

    "Basicamente nada", diz o embaixador brasileiro nos Estados Unidos, Sérgio Amaral.

    William Waack: A vitória eleitoral de Donald Trump é uma imensa surpresa, causou uma onde de choque no mundo inteiro. Todos os principais países estão revendo o que diziam que fariam diante das eleições americanas. O que a vitória de Donald Trump altera nas relações entre Brasil e Estados Unidos?

    Sérgio Amaral: Eu concordo que a vitória é inesperada. Concordo que ela terá uma repercussão muito grande. Mas, em relação ao Brasil, o impacto é pequeno. Por quê? Porque, na verdade, o Brasil não é parte do problema, não é parte dos problemas que ocuparam a agenda eleitoral. Nas relações comerciais nós temos deficit, não temos superavit. Nós não estamos tirando investimentos dos Estados Unidos, eles estão lá há muito tempo. Ao contrário, nós estamos investindo nos Estados Unidos, Nos últimos anos US$ 24 bilhões, que geram 80 mil empregos. Portanto, eu acho que as relações com o Brasil não serão afetadas. Inclusive porque elas são antigas, tradicionais, são sólidas e nós temos um amplo programa de cooperação dentro de um clima de muita convergência.

    William Waack: Tudo que nós pudemos acompanhar durante a campanha eleitoral, o que foi dito pelo agora vencedor da eleição e o próximo presidente americano, indica que ele é contrário a várias tendências que o brasil gostaria que se afirmassem. Por exemplo: do livre comércio. Por exemplo: da maior integração e da assinatura de pactos comerciais regionais, que nos beneficiariam. A eleição de Donald Trump pegou o Brasil no contrapé?

    Sérgio Amaral:É uma certa ironia da história, William. Porque o Brasil chega ao mercado mundial com uma proposta de abertura em um momento em que o mercado mundial está se fechando. Na Europa, possível que seja nos Estados Unidos, mas em alguns casos isso não é necessariamente um mal. Por exemplo, o TPP, a parceria transpacífica, nós não estamos preparados para negociar a TPP agora. Se nós decidirmos por negociar, não é melhor nós ganharmos um pouco de tempo para nós nos preparamos para ela? Porque nós sabemos que existe um discurso de campanha e uma prática de governo. E muitas das ideias discutidas na campanha têm que passar ainda pelo crivo dos partidos, pelo próprio partido republicano, pelo crivo do Congresso. E todo governo tem que fazer uma negociação. Portanto, eu acho que haverá um amadurecimento, uma atenuação de alguma das ideias. Eu não consigo ver alguma delas nos prejudicando porque o eixo em que nós trabalhamos nos Estados Unidos é antigo e sólido.

    William Waack:O estilo pessoal de Donald Trump é completamente não convencional sobretudo para os padrões da tradicional diplomacia que o senhor aqui representa com a sua experiência. O Brasil está preparado para falar grosso, duro e as vezes bastante tosco como Donald Trump vem falando?

    Sérgio Amaral:Eu acho que não é o nosso estilo e acho que eles têm uma diplomacia muito competente, uma diplomacia que tem reservado uma atenção muito grande para com o Brasil, que entendem muito bem o nosso processo e vê com bons olhos o que nós estamos fazendo.

    http://g1.globo.com/jornal-da-globo/...o-nos-eua.html

  3. #3
    WHT-BR Top Member
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    Dec 2010
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    17,977

    Banco Central na área






    Cansado dessa gangorra.

  4. #4
    WHT-BR Top Member
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    Trump makes the dollar and the stock market great again



    Nov 17, 2016

    Expectations of a significant fiscal stimulus under the administration of President-elect Donald Trump sent the U.S. dollar to its highest in nearly 14 years against a basket of currencies and the Dow Jones to record high territory this week.

    The dollar index reached 100.57 on Wednesday, which was its highest since April 2003. It has risen almost 4% over the last eight days, which would be the biggest such increase since May 2015.

    The greenback has soared since Trump was elected president last week, as investors eyed the prospect of U.S. interest rates rising faster than previously expected due to his plans for an expansionary fiscal policy that would stoke inflation.

    Meanwhile, the Dow went on a seven-session win streak, which included four straight record closing highs, since November 9, as the market's focus remained squarely on the policies of President-elect Donald Trump.

    The Republican has said that he planned to spend on infrastructure and cut taxes to stimulate the economy and spur inflation, which would ultimately lead to an era of higher interest rates.

    http://www.investing.com/news/econom...t-again-441768

  5. #5
    WHT-BR Top Member
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    Yellen: Fed reluctant to delay next interest-rate rise ‘for too long’

    Barney Jopson

    Janet Yellen, the Fed chair, is signalling that the US central bank is reluctant to delay its next increase in short-term interest rates “for too long”.

    Ms Yellen is due to say on Thursday morning that as the Fed sees the case for a rise in rates continuing to strengthen, it “must remain forward-looking in setting monetary policy”.

    “Were the [monetary policy committee] to delay increases in the federal funds rate for too long, it could end up having to tighten policy relatively abruptly to keep the economy from significantly overshooting both of the committee’s longer-run policy goals,” she will say at a congressional hearing, according to prepared remarks.

    “Moreover, holding the federal funds rate at its current level for too long could also encourage excessive risk-taking and ultimately undermine financial stability.”

    Last Friday Stanley Fischer, vice-chair of the Federal Reserve Board, laid the ground for a second increase in short-term interest rates, saying the case for gradually raising rates was “quite strong” although policy was not on a preset course.

    Ms Yellen is due to reiterate that an “increase could well become appropriate relatively soon if incoming data provide some further evidence of continued progress toward the committee’s objectives”.

    Her remarks on Thursday will be her first since last week’s presidential election, but they do not contain a reference to Donald Trump’s victory.

    Some of Mr Trump’s advisers have said his election will unleash a policy shift away from monetary policy towards fiscal measures in the coming months.

    Mr Fischer also said the Fed would welcome greater fiscal support for the economy amid signs that Mr Trump and the Republican-dominated Congress are preparing for tax cuts and larger budget deficits.

    https://www.ft.com/content/9c144cbb-...2-42603b13d823

  6. #6
    WHT-BR Top Member
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    fastFT ‏@fastFT 4 minutes ago

    US jobless claims hit 43-year low


    fastFT ‏@fastFT 45 minutes ago

    US yields rise, dollar reverses some losses on Yellen remarks

  7. #7
    WHT-BR Top Member
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  8. #8
    WHT-BR Top Member
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  9. #9
    WHT-BR Top Member
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    US dollar’s winning streak among longest on record



    Peter Wells
    Nov 18, 2016

    Aggressive. Catching markets off guard. Signalling the end of an era. Words and phrases to describe Donald Trump? Close, but also equally applicable to the performance of the US dollar as it notched up one of its longest winning streaks on record.

    Credit where it’s due though, as Donald Trump’s election as president – along with the prospect of his policies spurring inflation in the US – have helped light a fire under the US dollar.

    However, the post-Trump rally arrived as investors were already ratcheting up expectations for higher interest rates, possibly as early as December. After some mid-year hesitation and concerns the Federal Reserve might hold fire this year, sentiment toward the dollar improved and it has taken off since mid-August.

    Commentary overnight from Janet Yellen, Federal Reserve chair, that an increase in short-term interest rates could “become appropriate relatively soon” provided some justification for the greenback’s recent rally. The chances of a December rate rise now sit at 96 per cent, compared with 80 per cent one week ago. Four months ago, investors attached a 46.7 per cent chance to a December rate rise, according to market pricing tracked by Bloomberg.

    On Thursday, the dollar index, a measure of the US currency against a basket of global peers, closed higher for the ninth consecutive session, rising 0.5 per cent to a 13-year high of 100.89.

    In Asian trade this morning, it is 0.2 per cent higher at 101.04, putting it on track for a 10th-straight day of gains.

    Nine (or even 10) sessions makes for the greenback’s longest winning streak since April-May 2012, when it rose for 14 sessions in a row. That was the buck’s longest winning run on record, according to Financial Times analysis of daily Bloomberg data back to 1967.

    A nine-day winning streak, as you can see from our table, is right up there in terms of the longest on record and thus a very impressive feat.

    What is also noteworthy is how aggressive this rally has been compared to other similarly lengthy stretches. The dollar index has gained 3.9 per cent over the past nine sessions, making it second only to a 5.4 per cent gain over 11 consecutive sessions in August 2008.

    As a general rule, there’s a trade-off between performance and duration. It is often the case that the larger the moves (i.e. the higher the volatility), the harder it is for an asset to string together consecutive gains. But gains obviously accumulate the longer a run goes on.

    Volatility, as measured by the closely-watched Vix, has declined sharply as the dollar took off. On November 4, the Vix rose for nine consecutive sessions to a four-month high of 22.51 in the lead-up to the US presidential election. It has fallen to 13.35 as of November 17.

    So far this year, the dollar index has gained 2.5 per cent.

    https://www.ft.com/content/d1165650-...b-7c24685f9f69

  10. #10
    WHT-BR Top Member
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    Dollar charges to 14-year high, bonds in full swing






    Dhara Ranasinghe | LONDON
    Nov 18, 2016

    The dollar scaled to its highest level in almost 14 years against a basket of currencies on Friday, while U.S. bond yields were set for the biggest fortnightly rise in 15 years on bets U.S. inflation and interest rates are headed higher.

    A growing perception that the economic policies of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump will push up consumer prices helped put the dollar on track for its biggest two-week rise against the Japanese yen in almost 30 years.

    European shares nudged lower in early European trade .GDAX .FTSE .CAC, while Italian bonds bore the brunt of selling in regional debt markets, with borrowing costs set for their biggest two-week rise since the 2012 euro zone debt crisis.

    In Asia, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS slipped 0.4 percent to hover just above four-month lows touched earlier in the week. It looked set to log its fourth straight week of losses.

    The dollar's rise against the yen raised hopes of an earnings boost to Japanese exporters, lifting Japan's Nikkei average .N225 to a 10-month high. The blue-chip stock index closed 0.6 percent higher.

    Data on Thursday suggesting the U.S. jobs market is tightening and inflation is gaining traction have bolstered a view that U.S. growth and inflation could accelerate if the Trump administration cuts taxes and increases fiscal spending.

    Last week's unexpected U.S. election result has prompted investors to ditch their once rock-solid conviction that growth in developed economies will remain tepid because of tough competition from emerging market economies with lower wages.

    That has led to a repricing of assets, witnessed most notably in currency and bond markets.

    "What we're looking at is a broad shift of investment back to the U.S.," said Richard Cochinos, Citi's head of G10 currency strategy in London.

    "There are expectations for tax cuts next year - which were part of the Trump campaign's promises - and then there's also the idea of what type of fiscal boost are you going to have. That's what's driving asset prices – it's people's expectations for the fiscal impulse next year," he said.

    BONDS RUMBLED

    The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to 2.34 percent, its highest since December. It is up about 55 basis points over the last two weeks -- the biggest fortnightly rise in 15 years and the second biggest in almost 30 years.

    In Europe, Italian 10-year bond yields rose 8 basis points to 2.12 percent, racking up 44 bps over the last fortnight in its biggest surge since May 2012.

    Italy has been at the sharp end of the rout as investors fret about the political repercussions of a referendum next month that could further destabilize a country battling a banking crisis and a weak economy.

    Rising bond yields across the globe also reflect a reassessment of the Federal Reserve's policy path down the road, beyond a likely rate hike in December.

    Fed Chair Janet Yellen said on Thursday that Trump's election has done nothing to change the Fed's plans for a rate rise "relatively soon."

    But money markets are starting to price in one or more rate hikes next year, a sea change from before the election when they priced in a less than 50 percent chance of a 2017 rate hike.

    The dollar rose to 110.92 yen, its highest level since last May. The euro slumped to $1.0583, a low last seen almost a year ago.

    The dollar's index against a basket of six major currencies .DXY, rose to 101.37, its highest level since April 2003. It has risen over 4 percent in the last two weeks, its biggest fortnightly rise since March 2015.

    WEAK EMS

    A rising dollar is a problem for some emerging economies that could see potentially destabilizing capital outflows.

    The Mexican peso, which has been perceived as the most vulnerable to Trump's policies because of Mexico's exports to the United States and the president-elect's attitude to immigrants from Mexico, weakened 1 percent after the central bank raised its policy interest rates by 50 basis points to defend the currency, as the market had expected a bigger hike.

    The Turkish lira hit a record low, having fallen more than 8 percent so far this week, hit by signs of more discord between Turkey and Europe.

    Gold fell to 5 1/2-month low of $1,203.86 per ounce and oil prices, which have been supported by hopes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) would reach an agreement to cap production at its meeting in Vienna on Nov. 30, were hit by the dollar's strength.

    Brent crude futures fell 0.7 percent to $46.17 per barrel, down further from Thursday's two-week high of $47.62.

    (Additional reporting by Hideyuki Sano in TOKYO, and Jemima Kelly and John Geddie in LONDON Editing by Jeremy Gaunt.)

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-gl...-idUSKBN13D040
    Última edição por 5ms; 18-11-2016 às 07:40.

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